Tropical cyclone response to ambitious decarbonization scenarios
2025 · npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
저자
Mincheol Moon, Seung‐Ki Min, Jung‐Eun Chu, Soon‐Il An, 손석우 (Seok‐Woo Son), Hamish A. Ramsay, Zhuo Wang
연구주제
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research · Climate variability and models
NTIS 과학기술표준분류
에너지/자원만에너지·환경·원자력 확장
지구과학 > 대기과학 > 대기 모델링/예보기술에너지 외
배정 근거: AI 키워드가 잡은 NTIS 과제의 분류(정책 연계 맵과 같은 방법).
AI 연구 키워드·방법
이산화탄소 제거(CDR) negative emission 탄소 순배출 제로(넷제로) 열대저기압(태풍)
키워드 (OpenAlex)
tropical cyclones decarbonization scenarios negative CO2 emissions net-zero emissions hemispheric asymmetry (solar and geophysical) tropical cyclone tracks maximum wind speed tropical cyclone rainfall
초록
Numerous studies have explored global warming impact on tropical cyclones (TCs), but post-global warming TC activity remains poorly understood. This study analyzed 400-year evolution of TC characteristics in CO 2 emission-driven ensemble experiments performed with the CESM2 model under net-zero (ZeroE) and negative CO 2 emission (NegE) scenarios. Findings reveal a hemispheric asymmetry in TC track changes, with the Northern Hemisphere seeing a decrease and the Southern Hemisphere an increase. Under the ZeroE scenario, asymmetry persists for 300 years, while the NegE scenario mitigates it within 200 years. This asymmetry is influenced by changes in mid-level humidity, vertical wind shear, and sea surface temperature gradients. Unlike the TC frequency, maximum wind speeds and rainfall associated with landfalling TCs are enhanced globally in the ZeroE scenario, while alleviated in the NegE …
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NTIS 성과DB(2020–24)에서 DOI 매칭 없음
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교수 1
연구주제 1
Tropical and Extratropical Cyclones Research
정책분야 1
키워드 3
이산화탄소 제거(CDR) · 열대저기압(태풍) · 탄소 순배출 제로(넷제로)