A value-feasibility framework for scenario prioritization across adversary resource tiers in nuclear deployment contexts

The value of a nuclear facility as a target changes with its deployment context. This issue becomes more important as small modular reactors (SMRs) are considered for urban, remote, and industrial deployments that differ from the conventional large nuclear power plant (LNPP) model. Such potential deployment differences can change what an adversary may value and how difficult it may be to affect a target. Yet it remains unclear how these deployment-dependent changes should be reflected in security prioritization. This paper proposes a value–feasibility framework for ranking candidate targets across deployment contexts and adversary resource tiers. The framework describes each target using economic, functional, symbolic, and systemic value dimensions. It then compares these values with adversary preference profiles and adjusts the ranking using feasibility, represented by high-level barrie…