Expanding vegetated areas by human activities and strengthening vegetation growth concurrently explain the greening of Seoul

Many studies have reported that urbanization leads to a decrease in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) due to the expansion of impervious cover. Some studies, however, have reported positive NDVI trends in urban areas due to warming and CO2 fertilization effects, as well as the creation of green space. Thus, we examined spatial and temporal variations of the growing season maximum NDVI in a megacity, Seoul, which has rapidly urbanized over the past decades, by analyzing a 32-year time series (1987 – 2018) of Landsat satellite images in Google Earth Engine. Continuous change detection and classification and random forest algorithms were integrated to classify Seoul land cover types annually. We found an overall increasing NDVI trend at the city scale (0.002 yr−1). Significant NDVI trends were found for approximately 46 % of Seoul, with greening and browning trends accountin…